PowerFlow
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StateMiddle EastTURFrom Above (External Pressure)

Turkey

8recent Δ

PF Score

62

Authority × 0.6 + Reach × 0.4

Authority Score

65

Capacity to coerce

Reach Score

58

Influence projection

DepthPatron
Conventional MilitaryCyberIntelligence NetworksProxy Sponsorship

Score Trajectory

Mar 2, 26

Turkey is a calibration anchor at Authority 65, Reach 58 — these serve as the structural baseline with no linked events or case studies present to shift the values. Against peers, Turkey sits well abo…

Score Reasoning

Last scored Mar 7, 2026

Turkey sits at its locked anchor reference (Authority 65, Reach 58) with no linked events or case studies to drive deviation — the anchor table is the primary constraint here. Relative to peers, Turkey scores above UAE (Authority 62, Reach 48) and well above Pakistan (Authority 52, Reach 38), reflecting Erdogan's consolidated domestic grip, functioning state institutions, and active regional projection across Syria, Libya, the South Caucasus, and the Black Sea theater. No patron ceiling applies and no proxy network degradation is present to compress the Reach Score, so the anchor values stand as scored.

Recent Events

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